Poker DVD

After these few days in Dublin, it is time to return to work!

I want to share an analysis of Dan Harrington on the bringing of all his preflop with QQ.

Many poker players believe (rightly so) that QQ is a very good hand. Furthermore, when we see the best poker players in the world to touch a hand like this they do everything to board their opponent in the game. But often you watch the end of a tournament with blinds and antes are high! It is also worth noting that if the table is shorthanded, your hand is still some value.

But what about the beginning of tournament poker on a full table with the blinds down?

An example: Your stack is $ 1000, and the blinds are $ 5 / $ 10. Touching QQ UTG and decide to go all hoping to double your stack! Continue our case study with quick assumptions, which are fairly close to what might happen!

- If a poker player has AA or KK, you will!

- Let no one has QQ.

- Small pairs may move to avoid losing their carpet

I remind you that a player with AK is a serious competitor in your hand.

A player touches AA almost all 220 hands. It is the same for KK, so that the poker player touches AA or KK every 110 hands. Round off to 100 for simplicity. It is 9 players after you, and each has a 1% chance of hitting AA or KK. Rounding again (upwards this time), one can reasonably say that you will be facing AA or KK in 10% of cases. You will be underdog with almost 20% chance of winning only. That being said back to mathematics.

- In 90% cases you win the blinds ($ 15). Your expected gain is 15 × 90% = $ 13.5 +

- In 2% of cases, you beat AA or KK and double your carpet. you win, then $ 1000 + $ 15 = $ 1015. Your expected gain is 1015 × 2% = $ 20

- In 8% of cases, you lose against AA or KK. Your expected gain is: -1000 × 8% =- $ 80

The expected gain on this one is $ 13.5 + $ 20 – $ 80 =- $ 46.50.

You’re clearly losing in the long term. We could consider to be followed by AK (which will happen sometimes) or AQ (which is rare). Results will vary, but you will always lose. This is due to take risks at the low amount of the blinds.

To see if you understand, try to answer this question: This time it becomes profitable if the blinds increase? If yes, what should be the value of the big blind for that you return your costs over the long term? (With antes = 0)

Think about this next time you will discover … QQ.

This is from the high altitude of the Colombian capital that I write this post. The welcome is always warm and good meat too. I pass on details of our first evening when the Chilean wine has happily accompanied maginfiques pieces of meat that we ordered at the restaurant.

Tonight, the second evening, I’ll spend some time with some colleagues in a casino downtown.

The casino holds Sit n Go rebuy and add-on for a little less than 30 euros! it’s really an opportunity to go to rub shoulders with players from Latin America.

We are two French register with us. My colleague blows soon … A bluff pay that cost him his tournament. I observe the table. It plays very broad and pots are often paid by a lot of poker players. I decide to play tight and wait for them with good hands. The first two players (of 10) will be paid! It will be difficult but playable. I hit big hands that I can do to pay my opponents, and I ride a carpet so quickly. When the Add-on arrives, I’m chip leader at my right, which I think is the best player at the table. Some continue to gamble and eliminated them.

I make my merry way, unhurriedly, until such time that we are more than 3. We are two leading carpet with roughly equivalent, and the third player has a quarter of our main competitor tapis.Mon flew once and made some pretty aggressive game that works pretty good on the third player ets loose. For my part, I pretty much played by very few errors. I am fit and confident.

AQs I touch the button. I make my standard raise of 3BB. My neighbor behind me.

Flop: 3A2 (with 2 cores)

My opponent checks. I have rather a good hand: Top pair and more than decent kicker.

I make a continuation bet of 2 / 3 of the pot to try to win right away without giving a free card for prints offered by the flop. And there against all odds, my opponent raises me double my bet. Its revival is the 2 / 3 of my stack. I analyze the situation quickly:

- He took a big bet preflop. He had taken a blow shortly before with AJ

- It’s a good player who does not throw his chips out the window.

- It is more aggressive pre-flop with big hands

- He has just stolen several pots in our third robber, short chips through bets as I suspect most as bluffs and semi-bluffs (unless he has had some very big plays 6 or 7 hands in a row)

My thoughts lead me to locate it on a large AS. I eliminate AK, with whom he would most certainly revived. He probably AQ, AJ, AT or A9.

Small pairs are also possible.

I do not see it on 45 with his flopped straight. Indeed, the good player can adapt to shorthanded and my raise preflop should have (in principle) to eliminate this type of hands.

What to do? Unable to throw my hand here. So I either pay or raise.

Just pay is reasonable but dangerous if it is on the straight and flush draws. In contrast, the recovery may complete the move-in.

And you what would you do?

Indeed, everyone looks quite agree … That’s what worries me the way! But I must say, I just tried the stick to beat me.

I completely messed up my analysis. I saw an aggressive player seeking to steal a hit. I forgot he had a tendency to respect me and I should interpret the stimulus as a warning signal and wait quietly as he removes the other player.

I’m a little too focused on my top pair. I was lying on AT or AJ. That’s the mistake, but let the conduct of the coup:

As you all said, I will follow too and so I decided to send my carpet, thinking do lie! When I hear “call”, I know I lost! I think immediately trips! In fact our friend Colombia had followed A3! Its two pairs and I’ll take a beer at the bar!

Too bad for me! Before concluding the article, I would like to thank the players at the table for their home (I do not speak Spanish!). It was just like my stay! A big smile all the time. I highly recommend a passage through this beautiful country … but that’s another story.

For some years now that we are witnessing the expansion of poker. It has become almost a fact of life.
This discipline has allowed players to online poker , from fields more different from each other, to become known.
France is one of the countries most advanced in this diversity.
Here is an interesting example. While many think make money playing only, Sebastian Frisco , he has implemented his skills as a webmaster for combining his passion: poker. He played parts of online poker and website developed in parallel.
This type of model is already flourishing in the United States. While surfing the wave of the poker sites have developed at great speed “V” and have succeeded in generating an economic powerhouse worthy of the largest operators of poker.
To think ….